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#bombcyclone

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A few weeks ago... Expect #BombCyclones and #AtmosphericRivers to become a common and unpredictable occurrence with #ClimateChange!

Europe's weekend #BombCyclone to rival B.C.’s intense storms

Dennis Mersereau
Fri, November 22, 2024

"Canada has been no stranger to weather bombs this season. British Columbia is in the midst of its second bomb cyclone in one week—another intense storm hitting the same areas affected by hundreds of thousands of power outages just days earlier.

"While B.C.’s second storm won’t grow as strong as the first, another storm out in the Atlantic Ocean could rival that first storm’s monstrous strength.

"Storm Bert is brewing in the northern Atlantic Ocean, and it’s got its eyes set on the British Isles heading into this weekend.

"The storm’s minimum central pressure is expected to drop a whopping 40-50+ mb in just 24 hours. This swift strengthening would more than double the criteria needed for bombogenesis, the process of rapid intensification that creates a bomb cyclone."

yahoo.com/news/europes-weekend

Yahoo News · Europe's weekend bomb cyclone to rival B.C.’s intense stormsPar Dennis Mersereau

I was wondering when the #NortheasternUS would get hit with a #BombCyclone... Ugh!

Developing 'bomb cyclone' with #AtmosphericRiver to blast eastern US

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Published Dec 10, 2024

"A rapidly strengthening storm packed with a firehose of moisture will swing across the eastern United States through Wednesday night with areas of flooding rainfall, damaging winds and major travel disruptions."

accuweather.com/en/severe-weat

Here are a few photos from Puget Sound Energy working to restore power to people after the bomb cyclone.

Power is still out for many. Our trees are so big.

And yes Europeans we often run lines underground, but in cities.

Underground doesn’t work for long distances in the countryside that supply power to so many.

Four dead across U.S. West Coast as atmospheric river brings record rains and 20 landslides in California

The strongest atmospheric river of the season, driven by a bomb cyclone with a central pressure of 945 hPa, ravaged the U.S. West Coast on Wednesday, November 20, 2024, bringing unprecedented rainfall, flooding, and wind damage. Northern California bore the brunt of the storm, with 543.4 mm (21.39 inches) of rain recorded in Sonoma County and widespread flooding that stranded hundreds. Meanwhile, fierce winds of up to 206 km/h (128 mph) toppled trees and left communities without power. #weather #CAwx #BombCyclone
watchers.news/2024/11/24/four-

When an atmospheric river meets a bomb cyclone, forecasting becomes challenging. One meteorologist likens it to a fire hose flailing out of control, making rainfall intensity and duration unpredictable along the coast.
buff.ly/4i1J0FW
By Chad Hecht, UC San Diego #bombcyclone

The ConversationWhen an atmospheric river meets a bomb cyclone, it’s like a fire hose flailing out of control along the West CoastA powerful storm hitting the West Coast combines these phenomena for a wet week of erratic weather, as a meteorologist explains.

As California's first Atmospheric River of the season dies out, I thought folks might like to read my article: "Worse Than the Big One," about the Great Flood of 1862, caused by nonstop Atmospheric Rivers lasting more than 40 days straight.

It was the worst natural disaster to hit the west in the last 160 years, inundating much of the land, from Oregon to San Diego. The agriculturally rich Central Valley became a vast inland sea, 300 miles long and 20 miles wide. The state capital in Sacramento was under water for six months, forcing the government to relocate to San Francisco. 33% of California’s state property was destroyed, along with one in every eight private homes. Thousands of people died, possibly up to 1% of California’s entire population. And while floods of this magnitude used to happen every 200 years or so, models generated by Daniel Swain and researchers at UCLA’s Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences found that they will now happen roughly every 65 years, due to the effects of climate change. Swain also predicts a 20% increase in the intensity of megastorms, meaning the next one could be far more devastating.

The event also influenced the course of wars. In New Mexico Territory, for example, the flooded Rio Grande impeded the California Column as it attempted to cut off the retreating Confederate Army of New Mexico, allowing them to escape into Texas. And in California’s Owens Valley, it brought the Paiutes, who were on the brink of starvation because the storms had decimated the wild game they relied on, into conflict with ranchers, who were trespassing on their lands to graze their herds. Over 200 Native Americans died in the Owens Valley Indian War (1862-1867), along with roughly 60 members of the California Militia.

Even without the effects of climate change, the consequences of a megaflood today are much more serious than they were in 1862, when California had only 500,000 residents. Today there are hundreds of communities and large cities just in the vulnerable Central Valley, with a combined population of 6.5 million people. The Sacramento area, alone, is home to more than one million people, while Fresno has over 500,000 people, and Bakersfield has nearly 400,000 residents. The Central Valley includes the flood plains of two major rivers, the Sacramento and the San Joaquin, as well as many smaller rivers that drain down from the Sierra Nevada mountains.

This is not just a problem for Californians, either. Another flood like the one in 1862 would have a dire effect on the availability and cost of food for everyone in the U.S. The Central Valley comprises less than 1% of all U.S. farmland, yet it produces 25% of the nation’s food supply, including 90% of the broccoli, carrots, garlic, celery, grapes, tangerines, and plums, as well as 40% of the lettuce, cabbage, oranges, peaches and peppers, and over 20% of the milk. That is $46 billion worth of food annually, double the next most agriculturally productive state in the U.S.

A megaflood would also be an ecological nightmare. There are still lots of cows in California, nearly 4 million, to be precise. A massive flood would severely pollute the soil and groundwater with rotting carcasses, highly pathogenic H5N1 birdflu, and concentrated manure. Then there are all the other toxins in the region, like fertilizers and pesticides. In Kern County, alone, farmers use 30 million pounds of pesticides per year, while California, as a whole, uses over 200 million pounds of pesticides. Kern County is also one of the nation’s most prolific oil-producing regions, generating 70% of California’s oil and more than double what the state of Louisiana produces. It also has two large refineries. A major flood would pull much of these toxins into the soil and ground water and quickly spread them throughout the flooded regions, creating by far the biggest Superfund clean-up site in the nation’s history.

You can read the full article here: michaeldunnauthor.com/2023/01/

Suite du fil

2/ This easterly direction was extremely unusual for this type of rain storm. Usually, easterly winds mean continental cold or heat. Not torrential rain and massive wind.

Since we’re on the topic of cold, the second vulnerable direction for this area is to the NW. This is the general direction of the Valley floor as it stretches 25km inland. Strong, but never damaging, cold NW winds swoop down from the Comox Glacier.

1/ After the #BombCyclone I theorized that Mt Arrowsmith acted as protection against the huge easterly wind for much of #PortAlberni.

But not all parts of the Alberni Valley were so lucky. Why? Well here is a short thread based on my blog post.

alberniweather.ca/friday-small

The key is topography. Parts of Port Alberni are vulnerable in three directions: NW, E, and SE.

Here is East. Cherry Creek and Beaver Creek are just north of Mt. Arrowsmith’s northern face.
#geography #wind #bcstorm

Power is back on here at my place in Bellevue. Took them about 51 hours, 47 of which was them not being there. The actual inspection, diagnosis and repair work at the local substation was ~4 hours from what I could tell. PSE seems massively undermanned for this sort of event and they essentially had the best part of a week's warning that we might get hit by something bad.

#pse#power#washington